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Real Estate & Home Ownership

Housing Market Tilts Toward Buyers: Top Markets Reveal a Long-Awaited Shift

Housing Market Tilts Toward Buyers: Top Markets Reveal a Long-Awaited Shift

Homebuyers finally catch a break as inventory rises and competition eases in key U.S. markets.[1] The latest Winter 2026 WSJ/Realtor.com Housing Market Ranking spotlights affordable, stable spots topping the list, signaling a swing from seller dominance.[1][2] This change, driven by new construction and cooling prices, hands buyers more power just as 2026 kicks off.[1]

Background/Context

The U.S. housing market endured a seller's paradise for years, fueled by low inventory and pandemic-fueled demand.[2] Supply dipped sharply - active listings in places like Norwich-New London sat 73% below pre-pandemic levels as recently as late 2025.[2] High mortgage rates locked in owners with cheap loans, stifling turnover.

Now, cracks appear. New builds in the South and West boost supply, while price growth slows nationwide.[1] Midwestern and Northeastern metros, once overheated, now balance affordability with livability.[1] Buyers prioritize markets offering value over hype, per the WSJ/Realtor.com analysis of 200 major areas.[1][2]

This rebalancing stems from economic steadiness and buyer fatigue with sky-high costs.[1] Rankings weigh real estate factors (60% of score) like supply and demand against quality-of-life metrics (40%).[1][2]

Main Analysis

South Bend-Mishawaka, Ind.-Mich. claims the top spot in the Winter 2026 ranking, blending low competition with solid appreciation potential.[1] Buyers here face manageable demand and relative affordability amid tight national supply.[1]

Appleton, Wis., and Manchester-Nashua, N.H., follow closely, drawing shoppers seeking stability.[1] Canton-Massillon, Ohio; Lancaster, Pa.; and Springfield, Mass., round out the top six - mostly Midwest and Northeast hubs.[1] These areas score high on median days on market, signaling less frenzy.[2]

Take Norwich-New London, Conn., climbing ranks with median list prices at $445,750 in December 2025 - up 10.1% quarterly but 69.4% from 2019.[2] Active listings rose 8%, hitting 303, while days on market held at 52.[2] New listings stayed flat, but that's progress from pandemic lows.[2]

The methodology is rigorous: real estate demand (15% weight) tracks pageviews per property; supply (15%) uses days on market.[2] Price trends, taxes, and climate risk fill out the rest.[1][2] Higher-cost metros lag due to stretched budgets and slow sales.[1]

Fourteen top-20 markets repeated from fall 2025, showing persistent buyer-friendly pockets amid stagnation.[2] Nationally, inventory edges up, empowering buyers to negotiate.[1]

Real-World Impact

Buyers win big: more listings mean leverage on price and terms.[1] In South Bend, families snag homes without bidding wars, easing the affordability crunch.[1] Relocators from pricey coasts flock to Norwich, where connectivity to Boston keeps jobs accessible.[2]

Sellers in cooling markets must adjust. Slower turnover hits equity-rich owners eyeing upgrades.[1] Builders ramp up in the South, restoring balance but pressuring values short-term.[1]

Economically, this boosts mobility. Workers move for jobs, spurring growth in ranked metros.[1] Homeownership rates could tick up if rates dip, but persistent supply gaps linger.[2] For renters, rising listings signal rental relief as owners list.[1]

Different Perspectives

Not all see a full buyer takeover. Midwestern tight supply keeps some competition fierce.[1] West Coast experts note new construction helps, but high rates mute the swing.[1]

Realtor.com economists highlight Northeast gains for affordability seekers, yet warn inventory remains low overall - 73% below norms in spots.[2] Optimists point to 14 repeat markets as proof of durable trends.[2] Skeptics argue seasonal factors inflate winter rankings.[1]

Key Takeaways